Trinimc's Predictions

[trinithemc]

Unless AM2 increases AMD's performance per clock by like 15% , Intel will take the lead against AMD as long as AMD can't bring 65nm chips to market , though AMD's design is better and has more performance clock per clock , Intel will be able to push clocks much higher , have lower power consumption and have close performance per clock with their new Conroe cores and superior fab process.

If you look at http://www.anandtech.com/cpuchipsets/showdoc.aspx?i=2648 where they compare the new intel cpu against an AMD X2 , the intel reaches near the same performance per clock , Intel roadmaps claim CPUs clocked at 3.3GHZ for their high end chips , unless AMD can increase performance per clock and/or put out a 3 or 3.2ghz CPU on 90nm process they won't be able to compete.. and even if AMD could reach those clocks their power consumption will go up dramatically bieng on a larger process, though i think AMD does have something of the sort in mind, as socket AM2 supports higher power output than 939.

Nvidia's 7900 will rape ATI's card if it can be produced at 32 pipes in large numbers... a 12 or 16 pipe 7600 will utterly pwn the X1600 which already can barely beat the 6600gt .
ATI might take back the lead when their direct X 10 architecture is released in late 2006 , having had experience with the Xbox 360 GPU , DX10 is supposed to use unified shader pipelines in its cards like the 360 .

Vista will be cracked within a week of release...
Apple might release a boxed OS , but i highly doubt it .. Else someone will crack the OS to run on any 32 bit x86 machine .

Revolution will actually give Sony and Microsoft serious competition if the graphics aren't too much worse off than a 360 or PS3 ....
The games i'm looking forward to for this year :
Unreal 2007
Quake Wars
Half Life 2 : aftermath
Huxley (google it)
Star Wars : Empire at War
none of the above should dissapoint .. much ..

[Paradoxxx]

nostradamus iwmc!!

There is some logic to SOME of your predictions, i'll play the waiting game.

[mojo]

sounds just about right... Some of your predictions are obvious while some are a bit cloudy.

apple releasing a boxed OS? ....i'll wait for that one, and not hold my breath.

revolution... ah yes the revolution. It has a head start on the ps3. That's a plus. another wait and see.

Intel vs AMD, a really close call this is the million $ question on everyone's mind since AMD stock quotes have been on an insane climb for this year and part of LQ 2005. But for techies like us, it's all good since we benefit in the end... closer competition==> lower end prices. I not gonna take a side here.

VISTA??? lol i'll give the crackers 24hrs.

you seem to be on track with everything else.

[opium]

vista WILL BE CRACKED before release

intels new market on there conrope chips will make news, but the price again intel is calling will indeed hold them back

amd is not far from behind

and for game consoles, xbox360 will plop like its predecessor, after nintendo and sony release the big boys nintendo is going to hold the market in the console wars this round

[trinithemc]

AMD will still grow alot in 2006 is my next prediction , note a trend in the hardware market , once one side starts winning and sending out good products , when a bad product comes out ( *cough geforceFX *cough prescott) it takes a year or more for the industry to start buying the competitor's products .... So even if Intel can beat up on AMD for a few months , AMD will have time to release their new products and their business will still be expanding almost as fast as it is now .
Right now AMD is raping intel so hard it isn't funny , both my neighbours bought new pcs recently one a gateway laptop, one a built desktop , Both are sporting AMD 64s and ATI graphics , i didn't get chance to recommend AMD for either of them.. AMD is swalling up intel's market share as fast as they can make processors , their chips are sold out months in advance.. thats part of the reason why Athlon 64s are more expensive now than a year ago .

[camrachi-mishima]

Originally posted by opium@Feb 12 2006, 11:57 AM
vista WILL BE CRACKED before release

intels new market on there conrope chips will make news, but the price again intel is calling will indeed hold them back

amd is not far from behind

and for game consoles, xbox360 will plop like its predecessor, after nintendo and sony release the big boys nintendo is going to hold the market in the console wars this round
Quoted post


unless the coding is leaked by someone within MS, it will NOT be cracked before release.

intel is garbage.

AMD is growing because they are... not like Intel.

X360 may stand a chance this time. Xbox grew substantially but remained a loss for MS because they decided to invest more money than they knew they would have to take a loss to make a ripple in Sony's pond. Nintendo will NOT take the lead because they still choose to go in an alternate direction that where the consumer masses are going. They will remain where they are, in thier own little corner. Banking a system on backwards compatablility will be far from enough to amp up sales to anything close to the level of a machine in the PS line.

Price IS NOT a factor. IT SIMPLY IS NOT. Thier cheaper price point combined with SUPERIOR graphics did nothing to bring them close to PS2 sales figures.

While I am me and I can only speak for caM, I'd say I do not care to play Duck hunt or Super Mario Bros in 2006. I don't. Fine I'd play Ocarina of time again, cause it's Ocarina, but outside of that. Nothing else seems worthwhile.